Putting housing in the country continues to decline and may this year to reach the next floor. Yesterday, Federal State Statistics Service reported that the decline in housing construction for the nine months was 5.5%. A new housing has reached a total of 33 million square meters. m. The decrease in Moscow I was just disastrous housing - more than 26%. Get off at this year's planned level of housing construction in the 60-70 million square meters. m will at best only 1.5-2 years, experts say. "The increase in housing construction was observed only in the North Caucasus Federal District - by 9.6%, where for nine months, built 1.822 million square meters. m, - said the agency. - The largest decline was recorded in construction of the Far Eastern Federal District - by 18.2% (627.5 thousand square meters built. M). In the Urals Federal District, the reduction was 12.9% (2.594 million square meters. M), the North-West - 9% (2.89 million square meters. M), the Central - 8.5% (9.4 million square meters. m), in the Volga - 5.4% (7.34 million square meters. m), in Siberia - 1.2% (3.647 million square meters. m), in the South - 0.1% (4.563 million square meters. m). In Moscow, where in January-September was introduced just over 1.15 million "squares", the fall of housing was 26.4%. " With these statisticians agree and officials. In particular, in its latest monitoring of socio-economic development Economic Development gives similar figures. During January-September 2010, the country was introduced 33 million square meters. meters of housing, ie a decrease of 5.5% from January-September 2009. And since the beginning of the year it was built 383 thousand new apartments. It is clear that at this rate, talk about the reality of the previously announced targets - in 2010-2011 to introduce 75.1 million, and in 2011-2012 - 85 million square meters. m annually - is simply not serious. However, as noted by the respondents "NG" experts, if the authorities will be engaged in earnest support of construction, reconstruction is possible. "The increase in the volume of construction in the whole country - one of the priorities of the government - the analyst believes an independent agency" Investkafe "Maxim Lobada. - But, in fact, the forecasts of real estate over the next few years - it forecasts the global economy, and clarity in this matter no one has. " At the same time, he said, only one private demand will not radically change the situation. "Private demand may spur the appropriate mortgage program, but given the volatility of world markets, count on it in the near future is not necessary, - the analyst. - The economy has not fully recovered from the crisis, which affects the effective demand of the population. This explains why so slow recovery in property prices. In the first nine months of 2010 construction costs in the country increased by 3.19% compared with 2009, but remains at 8.61% lower than before the crisis. Housing construction costs economy-the national average of 25-30 thousand rubles for the "square". The average cost per meter of Moscow are now above 130 thousand rubles. This amount includes the cost to purchase or lease land, design and execution of construction works. " According to the expert, after a default of 1998 real estate market took nearly five years to restore prices. In turn, the expert assessment of the department of "2K Audit - Business Consulting» / Morison International Klyuyev Peter believes that the amount of construction to return to pre-crisis level of 1.5 years. "A major factor is the state support of housing, and economic stabilization, which has reduced mortgage rates to 13% in rubles on the average of the market - he believes. - A gradual increase in income revived housing demand, and prices have gradually started to grow. By the end of this year, this growth can already evolve into a steady trend. " Separately, in his opinion, is to say about the segment of private housing. "In general housing construct it takes more than 50% - 16.6 million square meters - and over the same period last year, this figure increased by more than 80% - reminds Klyuyev. - One can predict that further construction of private housing will increase very serious pace. One reason: depreciating building materials. "
No comments:
Post a Comment