The coming shortage of new housing under construction in Moscow, which promise to experts, makes the Moscow region in one of the most promising areas for construction. One of the alternatives to direct Moscow-building projects could be near to the city shelter in the Moscow Ring Road. As analysts predict, the lack of liquidity of housing will necessarily lead to an increase in house prices next year. According to the analytical data of "Miel New", announced at last November 23 press conference, the characteristic tendency of the market of new housing is washed out of the liquid supply. In the short term is fraught with shortages and rising average prices for such housing. In the suburbs the same bucking the trend, reducing the average price per square meter and yield of active projects (up to 10-15 sites per month). Also, the market for new construction area is characterized by a sharp increase in the share of prefabricated construction, as reported by analysts' Miel New ", which makes the market more attractive suburban buildings. The most promising ground for housing, according to the company, in the Moscow region becomes a middle zone of the Moscow region, which is confirmed by analysis of demand-the demand for an audience outside Moscow new building is about 61% of the total. Deep Freeze At the same time as the General Director of ASC "Miel" Vladislav Lutskov, to date, the area of residential projects are on hold in Moscow, is about 830 thousand square meters. M. At the same time, the city has 1.157 thousand investment contracts, according to kotoroym in the period from 2010 to 2015 in Moscow to be built 18.68 million square meters. meters of housing. Vladislav Lutskov pointed out that given the fact that about 830 thousand square meters. m Moscow construction projects put on hold, yet 10.8 million square meters. m is in the design stage, under construction are only 7 million square feet. m. "From housing under construction, only 4 million square feet. m is a commercial project, involves the sale, everything else is built on social programs. If you have 2 million square feet. meters of housing has already been implemented, "- said the expert. Thus, according to him, in the near future we can expect out on the capital market for sales of 2 million square meters. m. "We anticipate that in 2011 the capital will launch new residential projects are an area of 600-700 sq. m, but the residential area will be able to enter the market until next year. If you add up the numbers of housing in the new buildings already in the implementation, we get a 2.5 million square meters. m primary residential property, which can be purchased in Moscow in 2011, "- said Vladislav Lutskov. In his opinion, the volume of data "is clearly not enough for such a megalopolis as Moscow, and therefore expect lower prices in Moscow clearly not worth it" - said the analyst. Nevertheless, the ASC "Miel" believe that in 2010 the housing market could face capital recovery. It went to the renewal of specified general director of "Miel New" Maria Litinetskaya, the emergence of deficits in the market of new buildings is justified by the fact that a number of developers remove their realizable amounts from the market and goes on the renewal of permits in accordance with recent amendments to the Law 214-FZ . "Since September 2010, the economy-the housing market can be found fewer builders, working without looking documents, today they are trying to sell items on DDU (trust agreement). As a result, the market reduces the number of transactions, including mortgage, at the level of strong demand, "- said Maria Litinetskaya. Forecasts ASC "Miel" separates the real estate market analyst Yuri Kochetkov. "Due to the fact that the timing of re-registration of new buildings are moved, may suffer from buyers of apartments and investment purposes, so that at some time in the process of investment property under construction may slow down" - believes Yury Kochetkov. At the same time, according to him, wait for the market recovery in 2012 should not, at this point in the market should go projects that are only now beginning, and it, as we see, do not move fast pace. According to developers of high-speed general director of consulting company RRG Dennis Kolokol'nikova theoretically given by ASC "Miel" the data are quite fair. "However, in my opinion, this does not include the ability to quickly build and unfreezing objects. And yet, this option is possible. For example, a group of Vedis already in practice has proved that the houses and apartment complexes are being built this company very quickly (remember the same Marfino, which was built actually for 1 year.) Thus, from 10.8 million square meters. m, which "are in development and approval of documentation," part may well enter the market ", - says Denis Kolokolnikov. Also, in his opinion, may enter the market and a number of projects frozen (according to the ASC, "Miel" frozen 0.83 million square meters. M). "In fact the same company-builders who are seriously affected by the crisis, gradually recover their power. However, in general I agree with the above prediction. Construction output is now for a city like Moscow is extremely small. And lower the volume of supply against demand recovery and mortgage lending can not but lead to higher prices, "- predicts expert. All times are in the middle! "Of course, the near suburbs will always be in high demand because of better transportation accessibility and a more developed infrastructure. Most of our proposals for the Moscow region is at a distance of 1-2 km from Moscow, which is much closer, even many districts of Moscow ", - says CEO of" NDV-Real Estate "Alexander Khrustalev. In late 2011, it expects a growth of interest of potential buyers to the middle belt of suburbs, but it will be possible only if the economy will keep going ahead. "At the same time there is no doubt that at the present level of development of infrastructure such as transport and the rest, namely the interest of consumers to" okolomkadnym "project for a long time will prevail in the total share of home buyers in the Moscow region. As for reducing the average level of prices per square meter, then, in my opinion, talk about it properly, "- said Khrustalev. According to him, in many projects suburbs after the crisis occurred reconception: monolithic construction was replaced by a panel. Accordingly, it was done for the sake of reducing the cost per square meter. But this is due in the first place was a crisis. Today the average price, according to "NDV-estate" is growing. As they say in "The service of real estate," the economic crisis had a significant impact on the construction industry: the pace of construction and housing construction declined severely in 2009-2010, but now you can see a recovery in residential real estate markets both Moscow and Moscow region. "Since the restoration of purchasing power ahead of the pace of construction of homes, we can expect shortfalls in supply of ready to move in real estate at the end of 2011-2013, in connection with the concept of active development construction site looks very promising, however, in our view, the emphasis in it is necessary to make in Moscow, since, in our opinion, the new buildings in the area, located at varying degrees of readiness, quite a lot, and the shortage of housing in the area will be formed at the end of 2013-2015. "- predicts CEO Paul Karasev.
No comments:
Post a Comment