Friday, November 11, 2011

Became clear prospect of house prices

Market metropolitan housing price is a state of "status quo" for almost two months, although real estate agents and some analysts periodically publish forecasts of an imminent abrupt increase in the cost of a new square feet. Market experts, by contrast, believe that today drastic steps to "right-left" no basis, no demand for low-income and credit instruments. Currently there are no prerequisites for the growth in house prices in Russia in 2011. This was the "Russian newspaper" told on Tuesday the Deputy Minister of Regional Development Constantin Royal. In his view, the market will develop at the same pace as in 2010. Moreover, according to an official, the situation will improve with affordable housing through the program "Housing" and the establishment of the planned accelerated, indicators of housing construction. Deputy head of the agency finds that the State take measures to stimulate demand. "The best should be regarded as forecast rise in inflation plus 2-4%, ie meter price increase by 10-14% "" to stimulate demand for such goods as housing, is only one way - reducing the price of "squares" to the level of reasonable access, no other options and can not be, - says CEO-Real Estate LOOKING capital Gleb Lipovetsky estate company. - Today one customer accounts for an apartment in Moscow 4.5 seller, and the exposure time is directly proportional to the cost of protracted the apartment - the more expensive the longer. Sold only the most low-income housing, investment sales have disappeared, no one interested in apartments "in concrete" and, finally, customers have learned to understand what belongs to one category or another, and that - no. " Experts, "Indicators of housing market» (IRN) believe that the current rates and volumes of input of new housing completely satisfy existing demand, whether new buildings more as a planning authority and, all these "zamkadnye" tower and would stand without the residents. Moreover, as the head of the "Indicators" Oleg Repchenko, home prices could decline and end of the year, especially in the secondary market for over-priced apartments. However, the construction volume increase is necessary, otherwise the odium "housing problem" will pursue the Russians forever. According to Constantine Royal, this year the Ministry of Regional Development plans to increase the input of new housing up to 63 million square meters. That's 3 million more than had been planned for 2010, and in case of demand growth will cover it. Recall that last year, barely managed to pass 58 million meters. Then, under the most recent year, the Accounting Chamber (AC) checked the progress of the Russian Federation in 2008-2009, the national project "Affordable and Comfortable Housing - to citizens of Russia" Federal Target Programme (FTP) "Housing". In the message SP said that the draft program and are slow and not in full, the legislation in relation to housing changes too often, which indicates that "the absence of a single chain of tasks that contribute to the objectives" of the project. The shortcomings and miscalculations Chamber carried the unjustified increase in the Federal Program (inclusion of additional sub-programs) and excessive growth in the number of managers of federal budget funds allocated for the project. According to the program "Housing", in 2011 Russia will be put into operation 63 million square meters of housing in 2012 - 67, 2013 - 71, and in 2020 - 145 million. The share of households who can buy a house with his own money and loans to grow by 2015 to more than 2.5 times compared to 2009 - from 12 to 30%. "Digital accessibility at the level of today's 12% is grossly overestimated - the director of consulting" Bureau of Information Support of investments "Victor Shcherbakov. - At current mortgage rates, down payment of several million rubles, monthly payment for a 2-bedroom apartment at 40-50 thousand every apartment is only available to people with incomes between 3-4 thousand dollars. Those in Russia no more than 5%. " However, the "housing problem" worries millions of Russians, and the overall needs of the population of Russia in the housing of 1.57 billion square meters, according to the Federal Fund for Housing Development. Based on these figures, to meet this demand should increase the housing stock by 46%. According to calculations by the Fund, the housing problem in varying degrees, is facing 60% of Russian families. For 32 percent of the families she is hot enough and needs to be addressed in the next 3 years. Undoubtedly, for all interested primarily in the housing question is the price of square meters. According to the President of Russian Union of Builders (RCC), Vladimir Yakovlev, the increase in house prices in 2011 will not exceed the rate of inflation. In an interview with RIA Novosti, he said that housing would go up, as we will grow and the demand for it, which should lead "to an increase in construction, rather than a sharp rise in apartment prices." According to real estate Steklov Mathematical Institute, in 2010 the price dynamics on the two major housing markets of Russia - Moscow and Moscow region - as follows. In 2010 the cost per square meter in new buildings in Moscow amounted to 166.3 thousand rubles (growth for the year amounted to 12.7%). In the secondary market, the figure was 155.3 thousand rubles (9.6%). Prices for "a primary" suburbs reached 77.2 thousand rubles per square meter (plus 6.9%). "Secondary housing" has risen by 3.5% to 71.8 thousand rubles for a "square". Analysts predict that in the short term the objective conditions for lower prices, and for their rapid growth, no. Residential Capital, will likely go up at a moderate pace, depending on how successful the coming year will be for the Russian economy. Most experts interviewed VIEW properties, find the optimal forecast rise in inflation plus 2-4%. Another thing is that this forecast is based on official data expected inflation does not exceed 10% by the end of 2011. Thus, the price of capital "squares" may rise to 10-14%.

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